Conversation
ljs

Lorenzo Stoakes

A good rule of thumb for detecting whether something is evidenced/sensible or not is whether advocates can provide SPECIFIC and rational arguments for their beliefs.

If they hand wave, give generalisations + isolated examples, they're probably bullshitting.
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ljs

Lorenzo Stoakes

Reply to @ljs
It's important though to consider the 'null' position - if somebody advocates for X and it is weak like this, but not-X is also unevidenced or weak, then you can be sure of neither, and are better off going back to first principles and applying the principle of 'strong claims require strong evidence'.

One way people can bullshit is by deciding X is true, and getting you to argue against it, for which you might not be able to find a argument. But if X has no basis then not-X is the more sensible position.

TL;DR: Bullshitters have a million techniques to lie...
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