Conversation
Jarkko Sakkinen
jarkko
Edited 1 month ago
For an outsider (not living in US) it is impossible to make guesswork who will presidential elections? I was in 2016 at north west of US when the Trump happened for the first time, and then everybody knew by a fact that Trump will not win, it is just plain impossible.
If you ignore who you would want to win, who do you think will win?
PS. Not worried of Trump because he likes how we rake our forests ;-) https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-46256296
If you ignore who you would want to win, who do you think will win?
PS. Not worried of Trump because he likes how we rake our forests ;-) https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-46256296
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Farce Majeure
vathpela@better.boston@vbabka @jarkko I think a lot of people failed to learn a key lesson from one aspect of the 2016 election: polls are a sample of "likely voters", which is a subset of eligible voters, and the polsters' demographic model of likely voters in 2016 was wildly wrong. All the poling in the world won't tell you the likely result if your model of who to poll is wrong.
I'm avoiding making predictions this time, but I have already voted for Harris. Not that it matters, she'll win Mass for sure.
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Jarkko Sakkinen
jarkko
@vathpela @vbabka I don't like usually want to support any candidate in foreign elections because given how social media algorithms work, in right (wrong) hands any opinion can be weaponized for any possible purpose or goal ;-)
In Mastodon I can say at least that for sure I'd be happier if Kamala won but for us over here it is also sane to prepare for all possible outcomes.
In Mastodon I can say at least that for sure I'd be happier if Kamala won but for us over here it is also sane to prepare for all possible outcomes.
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Farce Majeure
vathpela@better.boston
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